Dear all,
Welcome.
The Govt. of Delhi, erstwhile Union territory's, CM had opposed the making of National War memorial near India Gate citing it as a tourist place. Under the proposal, a War memorial is to be made near India Gate canopy with names of martyrs inscribed on it. After Kargil war, it had been under discussion. But as per CM, it would pose problem to common visitors.
Egypt's referendum: The opposition parties had claimed fraud during initial stage of public opinion poll in regard to change of the disputed constitution. The coalition titled, National Salvation Front, had asked people to come out in open for stopping it. Earlier, Muslim brotherhood had told that 56.5% votes went in favour of change whilst 43% votes rejected it. For supporting new constitution, 50% or greater polling is required. The opposition leader & IAEA Ex-chief, Al-Bardei told that first stage results indicate open fraud, reduced polling & dismay for Islamic leadership.
Surveys: The Gujarat Assembly results had been sealed in EVMs. It would be declared along with HP State results on December 20. Although, surveys indicate Modi ahead of Congress but if GPP had been able to divide the vote bank, it may pose danger too. During 2009 assembly elections, BJP got 35% votes whereas Congress got 32% votes, which is merely 3% difference. During this election, record polling had happened therein Gujarat.
A myth prevails that excessive polling goes against ruling party, but Bihar & Punjab elections had been able to break it.
Since 1995, 42 States underwent polling, out of which 18 times it went in favour of ruling party whereas 26 times, it went against ruling parties.
An important factor is that youths involvement had made elections reach 70% polling. Around 40% of voters were of the age group 18-40 years, which indicate one sided results either in favour or in opposition. The analyst state that on development issue, inclination for Modi is far obvious as he had conducted a youth rally too. It could have been successful or not is a big question mark?
The December 20 could further decide upon his candidature for Prime ministership too. Please read on...
a. 1-92 seats: Hermit stage
If Modi reaches it, Congress may form govt. or BJP minus Modi might work. In such a scenario, his vision about Delhi may crash. The rebels may further come forward. If he is bereft of govt. machinery, Godhra riots & fake encounters may terrify him. However, it is having almost no chance.
b. 93-100 seats: Wounded & feeble(weak)
If Modi reaches this number, it might be dangerous. He would like to join or call opposition. Many in BJP would like him to see so that they may get importance. The dissidents would be powerful and may mingle with Waghela or Keshubhai. It would testify Modi.
c. 101-110 seats: Delhi March start
It would be relaxing victory for Modi but with dissidents still active. Modi may be CM & strenghten himself.After sometime, Delhi March might follow.
d. > 115 seats: Clear claim
If Modi gets more than 115 seats, he would shut up his critics & rule the Gujarat in a similar style with his acceptability with NDA. He would make efforts towards getting a role for selection of candidates with other senior like Jaitley holding party.
With regards,
Welcome.
The Govt. of Delhi, erstwhile Union territory's, CM had opposed the making of National War memorial near India Gate citing it as a tourist place. Under the proposal, a War memorial is to be made near India Gate canopy with names of martyrs inscribed on it. After Kargil war, it had been under discussion. But as per CM, it would pose problem to common visitors.
Egypt's referendum: The opposition parties had claimed fraud during initial stage of public opinion poll in regard to change of the disputed constitution. The coalition titled, National Salvation Front, had asked people to come out in open for stopping it. Earlier, Muslim brotherhood had told that 56.5% votes went in favour of change whilst 43% votes rejected it. For supporting new constitution, 50% or greater polling is required. The opposition leader & IAEA Ex-chief, Al-Bardei told that first stage results indicate open fraud, reduced polling & dismay for Islamic leadership.
Surveys: The Gujarat Assembly results had been sealed in EVMs. It would be declared along with HP State results on December 20. Although, surveys indicate Modi ahead of Congress but if GPP had been able to divide the vote bank, it may pose danger too. During 2009 assembly elections, BJP got 35% votes whereas Congress got 32% votes, which is merely 3% difference. During this election, record polling had happened therein Gujarat.
A myth prevails that excessive polling goes against ruling party, but Bihar & Punjab elections had been able to break it.
Since 1995, 42 States underwent polling, out of which 18 times it went in favour of ruling party whereas 26 times, it went against ruling parties.
An important factor is that youths involvement had made elections reach 70% polling. Around 40% of voters were of the age group 18-40 years, which indicate one sided results either in favour or in opposition. The analyst state that on development issue, inclination for Modi is far obvious as he had conducted a youth rally too. It could have been successful or not is a big question mark?
The December 20 could further decide upon his candidature for Prime ministership too. Please read on...
a. 1-92 seats: Hermit stage
If Modi reaches it, Congress may form govt. or BJP minus Modi might work. In such a scenario, his vision about Delhi may crash. The rebels may further come forward. If he is bereft of govt. machinery, Godhra riots & fake encounters may terrify him. However, it is having almost no chance.
b. 93-100 seats: Wounded & feeble(weak)
If Modi reaches this number, it might be dangerous. He would like to join or call opposition. Many in BJP would like him to see so that they may get importance. The dissidents would be powerful and may mingle with Waghela or Keshubhai. It would testify Modi.
c. 101-110 seats: Delhi March start
It would be relaxing victory for Modi but with dissidents still active. Modi may be CM & strenghten himself.After sometime, Delhi March might follow.
d. > 115 seats: Clear claim
If Modi gets more than 115 seats, he would shut up his critics & rule the Gujarat in a similar style with his acceptability with NDA. He would make efforts towards getting a role for selection of candidates with other senior like Jaitley holding party.
With regards,
M.K.Pachraiya
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